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You know I am pledged to Lord Leitrim: but under the present circumstances I conceive his Lordship has not any chance: I know not the politicks of Lord Landaff: you may and must therefore be aware of his Lordship's interest: I should conceive after the count of last Thursday in the Lords Percival most firmly seated unless he disobliges my brother or some calamity befalls the Empire which God avert : I consequently consider your chance as very great and you may rely on me in every way possible. Others and the papers will inform you of public events: my daughter and myself live very much with the Smiths who are kindness itself to us: